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THE DUNNING KRUGER EFFECT: INTERPLAY OF BEHAVIORS CHAPTER 01

  If we were asked to rate our driving ability on a scale of 1 to 10, how would we score ourselves? Maybe we are not amongst the best drivers in the world, but we probably do not believe we are the worst. In fact, we probably rate ourselves as being a little better than the average driver. The problem with this is that most people rate themselves as being a better driver than the average person. This is the Dunning-Kruger Effect, where most people overrate their abilities , with the greatest overestimation coming from those with the lowest skills. Perhaps what’s even more amazing is that the English philosopher Bertrand Russell said this long before the advent of the internet . Today, due to the joys of social media, we are regularly exposed to legions of people who believe they know what they are talking about when they do not. And, indeed, as Russell pointed out, the more clueless these people are, the more confident in their pronouncements they seem to be . People who are bad at som